Pajama Pundits

Monday, September 18, 2006

Insomnia and random observations

It's raining. It's the first good 'soaking' overnight rain in several months. All Shreveport should thank me for ignoring the weather forecasts and watering my yard yesterday afternoon.

IRS Eyes Religious Groups as More Enter Election Fray - Good. I certainly don't mind anyone voting for a candidate whose platform is consistent with their religious ideals, but I hate the idea of organized religious groups involved in the political process - like this one in Shreveport.

I don't want any ID chips anywhere, especially not this one. Besides the State Department poo-pooing the flaws in security of the RFID chips in passports, the point that any security measure that works now cannot be counted on to work in 10 years is reason enough.

Yes, size does matter. If the label is what bothers you, cut it out.

Worst selection of mayoral candidates ever. Police kiosks? and "8 percent strike force", and asking the experts because the candidates certainly don't have any idea.

Wednesday, August 24, 2005

Gambling on oil

A geophysicist friend, remarked after a visit to one of the local casinos, "Casino gambling just isn't exciting after 40 years in the oil business."

I'm guessing some journalists are just now figuring this out.

I proposed to him a bet using what Julian considered the best measure of a resource's value: how it compares with the average worker's wage. I offered to bet that the price of oil would not rise faster than the average wage, meaning that future workers would be able to afford oil more easily than they could today.

Mr. Simmons said he favored a simpler wager, based on his expectation that the price of oil, now about $65 per barrel, would more than triple during the next five years. He said he'd bet that the price in 2010, when adjusted for inflation so it's stated in 2005 dollars, would be at least $200 per barrel.

Maybe bankers are as jaded as oil men when it comes to ordinary gambling. Kevin Drum points out that for Simmons to take Tierney's money in the original proposition, oil would only have to hit about $85 per barrel. He wants to take Tierney up on the original bet.

Enter Megan McArdle, non-gambler.

While the long term trend may well be upwards, in the short term, there's going to be a lot of volatility. To bet that oil will be above $85 a barrel in five years, you have to bet that China won't go into recession, Americans won't change their driving/insulating habits, Iraq won't be able to boost its oil production past the tepid prewar levels driven down by years of mismanagement, Saudi Arabia will default on its promises to raise production by 2.5 million bpd--indeed, no OPEC producers will respond to higher prices by increasing their pumping capacity, and that about a zillion other things that could drive down the price of oil, won't.

(So will I back John Tierney? Not I! How would little ol' me know when the bull will end its run and the bear will start?)

Oh heck, give me a roll of quarters and let's hit the slots. If I double my money, I'll be able to buy an almost full tank of gas.

UPDATE: Make that almost a half tank a gas.

Sunday, August 7, 2005

Air Conditioner Broke

Hopefully, it's just the fan motor and not the compressor.

This minor crisis may motivate me to enter Lennox's Search for the Most Uncomfortable Home in North America.

It could be worse. The forecast for the next few days is not that bad, we have an attic fan, and the AC at Barnes and Noble still works. Maybe I'll use this time to obey the command to read Swinburne.

Friday, August 5, 2005

So much to blog, so little time

Miss a day (okay... a week) of blogging and end up hopelessly behind the pack. Now I'm playing catch-up.


1. Jane Fonda needs to go see Movin' Out. Not only is the Vietnam scene choreographed to We Didn't Start The Fire moving and emotionally intense, the two subsequent dances by the war widow suggest that one can be stuck in mourning beyond it's usefulness, whether it be the Civil War or Vietnam. It's way past time for Fonda to let go of her past, and allow this country to finally stop fighting the Vietnam War.

2. Sometimes I think religion is going to be the death of us.

3. If I knew where the center was, maybe Pajama Pundits would have made it on the list of bloggers asked to name their "Least Favorite People On the Right". Bill O'Reilly would have got at least one more vote. Then again, Eric at Classical Values has a good point - Inflammatory Talk Beats Colorless Totalitarianism. It is a wonder that James Sensenbrenner didn't make the list.

4. The 2nd Amendment is the canary in the Civil Rights mine.

5. Profound, or simply found?

6. Ace of Spades accused of being adult and mature! If he was a mature adult, surely there would be a link to Pajama Pundits on his site, right?

7. Dr. Sanity notes the humor in a headline and the insanity behind it.

8. This is even more insane: Hey New York Times…have you NO DECENCY? Finally, have you NO DECENCY?

9. Stephen Green on work habits. Stephen Green on ribs. Stephen Green on abortion, gun control, and evolution.

10. Sisyphean Musings - Selected (and incomplete) Biblio of the Decision to Go to War and the Elusive Phase IV Plan. This should keep me busy the rest of the day.

Wednesday, July 13, 2005

More... Signs, Signs, Everywhere There's Signs

How incredibly annoying to read that. Let's keep East Texas clean and promote it as the land of the illiterate while we're at it.

It's not like they didn't have a better hook to use. There's R.I.D. - Report Illegal Dumping. Surely a good copywriter could do something with that.

Then there's the phone number. If you're going to denigrate your target audience you might as well make them laugh. And you wouldn't even have to hire a good copywriter. A contest on that one would have talented (and not so talented) amateurs submitting hundreds of better slogans than "Keep East Texas Purddy!"

Monday, June 6, 2005

Things To Do Upon Retirement

According to Allstate.com, the most desired retirement activity for Baby Boomers is travel. Ah... yes, I'd like to see the French West Indies,

explore the architecture in Russia,

return to Scotland where the rainbows are bigger than any I've ever seen before,

...however, my darling husband has decided that he is going to raise chickens.

The upside to this is that these birds are Red Wing Sex Links. Don't ask me what that means, I have no clue. But I figure it should get a Google hit or two... however disappointed the visitors may be. Perhaps I'll do a philosophical post or two about chickenshit, since I now understand a lot better just how meaningful that term is.

Friday, May 27, 2005

The Rude, Crude, and Socially Unacceptable Tax

If a plan to tax Rude, Crude, and Socially Unacceptable behavior is to be workable, there should be a simple test to determine who should be taxed and who might qualify as exempt.

I propose this form: Application for Waiver of Rude, Crude, and Socially Unacceptable Status.

The simple part is that everyone is taxable, until the waiver is applied for, and their status as Socially Acceptable has been formally approved.

Rude, Crude, and Socially Unacceptable

Some time ago, while riding a motorcycle, a cyber friend of mine was hit by an uninsured, unlicensed driver who ran a red light. My friend was seriously injured. And, he was not wearing a helmet.

It might be that a helmet would have prevented some of the damage done to his head. And, it might not. A helmet might have added enough bulk for his head to have become stuck, immobilized, under the vehicle, making a spinal cord injury more likely. It could also have prevented skull fractures and 'penetrating' wounds that perhaps allowed fluid an escape route instead of 'drowning' brain cells.

My friend is lucky. And tough, too. He could have easily become what is so often referred to as a "burden" on the system. In fact, some might say that the treatment he got that allows us the continued pleasure of his company contributed to the "burden." The refrain is, "Dammit, he should have been wearing a helmet! There oughtta be a law!"

Well, there were laws. Laws that say a driver must have a license, must carry insurance, and must stop at red lights. Just how effective are laws as the cause of responsible behavior?

Seems to me those who would like to legislate or mandate specific monetary penalties on specific behaviors (taxes, or higher insurance premiums, for example) are doing some fancy dancing around some fundamental questions: What is a life worth? What is the quality of one's life worth? What is the value of a life-saving medical technique? Are such techniques worth their cost? Is every life worth saving? If not, how is that decision to be made... on the possible quality of that particular life? Who defines quality? Unfortunately, the late Ms. Schiavo's case only stepped up the tempo of the dance, instead of prompting an intermission for serious reflection.

Helmets - worn, or not worn - are a small factor compared to the increased ability of the medical profession to save lives in increasing the cost of medical care. If it's money we want to save, CPR and mechanical respiration should be primary targets for banning.

In 1984, the National Institute of Neurological Disorders, wrote that 50% of patients with severe head injuries survived at that time, up from 10% in the early 60s. They attributed this to modern emergency-room, surgical, and intensive-care treatment. Further progress in fine-tuning those skills has been made since then in all three areas, but whether the impact has been as dramatic, I do not know.

Since the early 80s, there has been a boom in the creation of institutions for the rehabilitation of some folks with head injuries, and for the life-long care of some others. Organizations devoted solely to the support of brain injured patients and their families have come about to fill a need that wasn't there 40 years ago.

Somebody's got to pay for this, because the individual that retains their earning capacity after a severe head injury is fairly rare, and few people have enough insurance to cover a lifetime of care. If we, as a society, do not want to pay for the results of increasingly effective medical technology, either through increased medical insurance costs for everyone, government programs (SSDI, Medicaid, etc.), what are the alternatives?

There isn't always a deep pocket standing around waiting to be sued, unless we do decide we'll blame the car manufacturer for the driver's folly. The tobacco and gun suits seem to have us headed in the direction of "one step removed" blame, but what will be the end result of emptying all the deep pockets?

In deciding whether helmets should be required by motorcyclists, if one uses purely financial reasoning, there's little real evidence to support any massive effort to that end. Most head injuries are sustained by passengers and drivers of cars and trucks, under conditions where a helmet would do little good. Helmets do not prevent contrecoup injuries, for example. And I haven't heard anyone suggesting helmets for everyday wear, everywhere... yet. Perhaps the delay is in waiting for a model that will monitor fat and sugar intake throughout the day, as well?

Helmets are best at preventing the most treatable, least costly injuries, and at protecting the face from cosmetic injuries. They are worthwhile and I am thrilled that my husband chooses to wear one when he rides. However, we both understand that it isn't going to prevent all head injuries, it isn't going to protect his arms and legs, and it isn't going to make those he shares the highway with better drivers.

When the cost of treatment for something that can be blamed on a behavior, a habit, a choice... can be put forth as a reason for controlling that behavior by those who don't like that particular behavior, it's far too tempting to overlook the fact that the monetary cost is caused by the ever-present availability of increased medical technology... technology that everyone wants available when they need it, regardless of why.

Imagine walking up to a total stranger on the street and saying, "I'd prefer that you not engage in any risky behavior, but if you do - wear a helmet - because if you get hurt, it might cost me money somewhere down the line."

It's rather handy for "them" to push for increased premiums for motorcyclists and gunowners and higher taxes on tobacco and fast food, since they can then fund the medical care (or teachers' salaries, in the case of Louisiana) for "everyone."

But I'm not convinced the impetus for such punishment for non-criminal behavior is wholly monetary. I think it has more to do with the simple desire of some to control the behaviors of others. Perhaps they must have conformity to feel comfortable. It is something I do not understand, but they seem to be the same people who attempt to impose "tolerance" by being intolerant.

Wouldn't it be simpler to just go ahead and pass a "Rude, Crude, and Socially Unacceptable" tax? Perhaps insurance companies could tack on an "unsophisticated surcharge?" It would certainly be more honest... and even more honest to go ahead and call it a "redneck" tax or surcharge.